When the topic of Iraq comes up, I often find myself frustrated and alone. Why? Because, it seems, we can’t have a rational discussion about the issue, given the current political climate. Everyone is obliged to ignore the “elephant in the room,” in order to stay “true to their school” — their “tribe” if you will.
“It’s about freedom and democracy for an oppressed people!” Okay, I’ll buy a little of that. But, certainly we could have delivered those ideals to the people of Rwanda in the 90’s and saved many lives in the bargain.
“It’s about bringing some peace and stability to the region.” Yes, I can go with a bit of that, too. I can see signs of stability from Libya to Pakistan. I mean, what amateur (or professional, for that matter) geopolitical analyst wasn’t looking for the next nuclear war to be waged between Pakistan and India? Yes, they still hate each other and, yes, there is still a de facto dictator in Pakistan. But, can’t we agree they are much less likely to initiate launch sequence now?
“We went to Iraq to avert an ecological disaster in the southern marshlands, caused by Saddam, and restore the delicate culture of the peaceable people of that region.” You know, I never heard that one much, but you have to admit it’s a good thing that water will be pumped back into the area to re-hydrate the delicate ecosystem.
“Religious freedom… yeah, that’s it!” With Saddam out of the way, the Shi’i have unimpeded access to the Atabat (threshold), the most holy shrines in the south. I don’t think most Americans were even aware they existed, until we invaded Iraq. So, that one probably isn’t heard in too many discussion groups.
“It’s all about oil and Cheney’s friends getting rich off the backs of the Iraqis.” When I hear some spoiled adolescent, trapped in a “fifty-something” body, screeching “oil, Cheney, Bush, Haliburton,” I just wanna laugh out loud, but the denials from my friends on the right are almost as silly.
I happen to think that there are probably as many “reasons to go into Iraq” as there are people and ideologies at work in the State Department, the Commerce Department, the Defense Department, the Congress and the White House. But. If you want to boil it down to one overarching issue, I think it really is “all about oil.” But, not to make any one in the oil industry rich (although that certainly will be a corollary).
Why, do I think that? Well, I’m one who firmly believes that we humans learn best, when we discover things for ourselves. So, please allow me to pose a few questions. Then, you can decide for yourself why we are in Iraq.
First, do you ever look at the world as someone would, who is playing the board game RISK?” Do you ever take a strategic look at why the United States does what it does? Have you ever checked out a map or statistics about projected world oil reserves and production? Then, have you ever looked around and thought about the fact that virtually everything you see was manufactured or produced, transported and preserved in some way by fossil fuel? Then, ask your self these questions… who is emerging as the biggest rival of the United States militarily, strategically and economically? How fast is the economy of the EU growing, what is their unemployment rate and what kind of labor force can we project for them in the next few decades? Where is Russia in all this and why could the United States do in Afghanistan in few weeks, what Russia could not do in a decade and still cannot accomplish in Chechnya? What does Maoist China have in common with Muslim Sudan and Iran? Who does China perceive as the greatest hegemonic bully in the Pacific Rim? Why is China buying submarines at an accelerated pace (is it only about Taiwan and the region)? How does most of the oil consumed in the United States get to us?
Finally, the biggest question of them all… How do you think a nation, which enjoys big houses, nice cars, cheap goods, lots of entertainment and frequent vacations, would respond to their government, if the supply of oil to them began to diminish and they were forced to live with less? What would be their mood? How about all of those progressive folks in their 50s and 60s, who are banking on retirement plans and 401ks, which in turn, are banking on robust economic growth – how do you think they would respond to a radical downturn in their financial fortunes, because some upstart nation started consuming more fuel than this pampered nation and needed more of the world’s oil?